The stock market’s September slump persisted on Tuesday, with major indices facing a significant setback. The S&P 500 index retreated by 1.5%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped nearly 400 points, representing a 1.2% decline, and the tech-focused Nasdaq Composite stumbled 1.6%. This reversal halted the triumphant start to the week for these key stock barometers, casting a shadow over prospects for the month ahead.
The downturn coincided with increasing uncertainty regarding the Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates. Neel Kashkari, a prominent Fed policymaker, expressed the belief that, given the remarkable resilience displayed by the US economy, the central bank would likely need to implement rate hikes and sustain them at elevated levels to combat inflation. His remarks echoed sentiments recently voiced by other central bank officials. This shift in perspective has ignited speculation that interest rates may persist at elevated levels for an extended period, potentially propelling the 10-year Treasury yield to a new 10-month peak.
Adding to the prevailing sense of pessimism, Moody’s issued a cautionary warning that a potential government shutdown could harm the United States’ credit rating. This grim outlook compounds concerns arising from a lack of consumer confidence and record-high US home prices registered in July.
Further contributing to the market’s descent, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon cautioned that markets might not be adequately prepared for a worst-case scenario in which the Fed enforces a substantial rate hike to combat both inflation and stagnation. These developments have instilled unease among investors, who are now seeking respite from the prevailing turbulence.
The upcoming week carries significant market-moving events that investors are closely monitoring. Thursday will provide a key reading on the US GDP for the second quarter, offering insights into the nation’s economic performance. Following closely on Friday is a fresh reading on PCE inflation, the Federal Reserve’s preferred metric for inflation measurement. These data points are expected to shape market sentiment and direction in the near term.
Additionally, the potential for a budget deal being reached before the looming September 30 deadline and signs of improved economic stability in the US represent factors that could sway the stock market in the days ahead.
In conclusion, The S&P, Dow Jones and Nasdaq all suffered significant losses on Tuesday. The stock market’s downward trajectory persists, exacerbated by the Federal Reserve’s reluctance to reduce interest rates in the near future and the looming threat of a government shutdown, which could have adverse repercussions on credit ratings. As the week unfolds, investors remain hopeful for some respite amidst the ongoing market turmoil.
Source: Yahoo Finance